Eleuthera

Eleuthera Weather

Average Weather for Eleuthera Bahamas

Month Mean Daily Maximum Temperature F° Mean Daily Minimum Temperature F° Monthly Rainfall Inches Number of Rain Days
January76653.46
February79683.24
March80662.23
April8269.963
May86734.05
June86761.22
July89793.04
August90785.57
September89741.34
October88754.36
November83735.48
December80683.17

Eleuthera Tide Tables Tides and Charts

Currently: Partly Cloudy: 83F
Currently in Governor's Harbour, BS: 83 °F and Partly Cloudy

9/29/2016 Forecast
High: 88 F Low: 81 F Some sun, a t-storm in spots

9/30/2016 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 82 F Some sun, a t-storm in spots

NOAA Infrared Weather Map of Bahamas
(click to enlarge)

Current Weather for Governor's Harbour & Nearby Places

Governor's Harbour Accuweather 25 Day Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

Real Time GOES Imagery - Caribbean:

GOES East Visible Loop, IR Loop and Water Vapor Loop

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

° Celsius    ° Fahrenheit
(Enter Celcius degrees then click the “=” button to convert to Farenheit degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

Eleuthera Hurricane History lists hurricanes affecting Eleuthera dating back to 1871.

NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 290544
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Matthew, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Matthew are issued under
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Matthew are issued under
WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 29 September 2016 | 12:44 am

Tropical Storm MATTHEW Graphics

Tropical Storm MATTHEW 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 05:43:31 GMT

Tropical Storm MATTHEW 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 03:06:35 GMT

Posted on 29 September 2016 | 12:43 am

Summary for Tropical Storm MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

...MATTHEW MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 2:00 AM AST Thu Sep 29 the center of MATTHEW was located near 13.9, -64.0 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Posted on 29 September 2016 | 12:39 am

Tropical Storm MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 3A

Issued at 200 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016


000
WTNT34 KNHC 290539
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
200 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016

...MATTHEW MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND AWAY FROM
THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 64.0W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
to 48 hours.

Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor
the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 64.0 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion with
some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will continue to
move away from the Windward Islands tonight, and be over the eastern
and central Caribbean Sea through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days,
and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane by Thursday night or
Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
primarily to the north and east of the center.

The minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue for a few more hours
over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands
within the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are possible in
Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba beginning late Thursday.

RAINFALL:  Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday.  These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3
inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 29 September 2016 | 12:39 am

Tropical Storm MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 3

Issued at 1100 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016


000
WTNT44 KNHC 290251
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016

Matthew crossed a portion of the Lesser Antilles today, and
tropical-storm-force winds were experienced in various islands for
several hours.  The strongest winds appeared to have occurred in
Martinique which was located in the northeastern quadrant of the
storm.  An Air Force plane currently investigating Matthew measured
a peak wind at 850-mb of 73 kt, while the SFMR instrument measured
54 kt. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb. There are no signs
of an inner core yet, but the cloud pattern has increased in
organization, and the initial intensity was adjusted upward to 55
kt.

Matthew is forecast to move over warm waters and relatively low
shear during the next few days, and these conditions should lead to
gradual strengthening.  There is a possibility, however, that
Matthew encounters some westerly shear in the central Caribbean well
south of Haiti in a day or two. This is an area climatologically
unfavorable for storms to intensify, and Matthew could reduce its
rate of strengthening there.  After that, most of the models show a
more conducive upper-level environment, and Matthew could intensify
at a faster rate. The NHC forecast is not very different from its
predecessor and follows closely the intensity consensus.

Fixes from an Air Force plane indicate that Matthew is moving
toward the west or 270 degrees at 13 kt.  A strong subtropical
ridge over the Atlantic is steering Matthew westward, and some
models even move the cyclone south of due west. Most of the guidance
is very consistent with this track during the next 48 hours. After
that time, guidance becomes more divergent, but in general, all
models turn the cyclone toward the northwest and north. Of the
historically reliable models, the westernmost track is the ECMWF
ensemble mean while the easternmost is the HWRF. The NHC track
forecast is in the middle of the TVCX and TVCN multi-model
consensus, and does not depart very much from the previous official
forecast.

There will be very interesting days ahead as Matthew moves toward
the central and western Caribbean Sea, and users are reminded that
the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are on the order of 180
and 240 miles, respectively.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/0300Z 13.9N  63.1W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  29/1200Z 14.3N  65.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 24H  30/0000Z 14.4N  67.9W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  30/1200Z 14.3N  70.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 48H  01/0000Z 14.1N  71.5W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  02/0000Z 14.5N  73.5W   75 KT  85 MPH
 96H  03/0000Z 16.8N  75.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
120H  04/0000Z 20.0N  75.5W   90 KT 105 MPH

$$
Forecaster Avila

Posted on 28 September 2016 | 9:52 pm

Tropical Storm MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2016


000
FONT14 KNHC 290251
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
MARATHON FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  19(28)  14(42)   5(47)   X(47)
PT GALLINAS    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)   3(19)   1(20)
PT GALLINAS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
CURACAO        34  X   4( 4)  10(14)   4(18)   4(22)   2(24)   X(24)
CURACAO        50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  17(25)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
CAMAGUEY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)  20(39)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)  13(33)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  24(30)  16(46)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   8(20)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   9(13)  20(33)  10(43)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   7(17)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   6(12)  11(23)   8(31)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   5(15)   7(22)   7(29)   4(33)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
CAPE BEATA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   6(14)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   3(16)   2(18)
 
PONCE PR       34  4   5( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  4   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  5   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  7   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BARBUDA        34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ANTIGUA        34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GUADELOUPE     34 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
AVES           34 63   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 
DOMINICA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MARTINIQUE     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    

Posted on 28 September 2016 | 9:51 pm

Tropical Storm MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 3

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2016


000
WTNT24 KNHC 290250
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBADOS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  63.1W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 120SE  30SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  63.1W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.3N  65.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.4N  67.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.3N  70.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.1N  71.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 16.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

Posted on 28 September 2016 | 9:51 pm

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